Hello, baseball fans! It’s been a while, but summer and the baseball season is now in full swing- pun intended. Some of my predictions that I made way back here (https://collegesportstown.com/2013/03/18/mlb-2013-preview-overview/) and in other various previews are fairly good, while others… not so much (coughBlueJayscough). Here’s a look at some of the award predications that seem to be accurate so far, and some that are not.
Fairly Accurate Award Predictions!
Justin Verlander as AL Cy Young Winner
While pitchers such as Clay Buchholz (9-0, 1.71 ERA), Yu Darvish (118 K’s), and, somehow, Bartolo Colon (7-2 with 2 shutouts!) have been stellar, Justin Verlander has been neck and neck with them when it comes to the AL Cy Young race. Verlander is 8-4 with a sub 4.00 ERA and 93 K’s, and while those stats are not the most impressive when compared to Buchholz or Darvish, I expect Verlander to pitch better over the summer while the two young pitchers falter somewhat.
Clayton Kershaw as NL Cy Young Winner
Young arms have dominated the National League thus far, as Matt Harvey, Shelby Miller, and Patrick Corbin have all put up some amazing numbers and outstanding performances. Despite this influx of brand-new talent, Kershaw, who is only 25 himself yet it seems has been in the league for a long time, looks as though he may win the second NL Cy Young Award of his young career. Though he is just (as of June 5) 5-4, he has a 1.93 ERA, 8.8 K/9, and a sub 1.00 WHIP. I believe that Kershaw should receive the Cy Young Award that some said he was deprived of last year.
Award Predictions That are Not so Accurate!
Mike Trout as AL MVP
While Trout certainly isn’t having a bad season by any means (he is leading the American League in triples and is 4th in both stolen bases and OPS), it appears he is once again going to lose the AL MVP Award to Miguel Cabrera. There is no better way to describe Cabrera’s 2013 performance thus far than this thought: He is, in my opinion, performing better this year than he did last year, when he won the AL Triple Crown. I disagreed with the decision to give Cabrera the award last year, but I do not this year. He is clearly the best player in the league at this point. Trout’s MVP will have to wait for at least another year.
Andrew McCutchen as NL MVP
Similarly to Trout, McCutchen is performing well, but he is likely to receive nothing to show for it. Although he is tied for fourth in the NL for stolen bases and is batting .280, McCutchen is simply not qualified to win the award this year with impressive performances by Jean Segura (.342 BA, 8 triples, and 17 SB), Joey Votto (.325 BA, .955 OPS, and 3.0 WAR), and Paul Goldschmidt (15 HR, 58 RBI, 3.7 WAR), not to mention others. Perhaps he will pick up the pace for the rest of the summer and draw in line with these top performers, but I expect both him and the Pirates to falter midseason, as they have for several years now.
That’s all for today! Expect to see a post reviewing my playoff predictions thus far in the upcoming week.